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I’m not sure there’s any big prices in this early Pick 5 (Races 1-5), but a string of $8 winners beating a bunch of favorites can still pay very well, especially on Derby day. She is absolutely in the mix at two- to three-times the price as Goodnight Olive.īetting the grays? Here’s what you need to know about the four choices in the 2023 Kentucky Derby Race 5 (Churchill Distaff Turf Mile Stakes) picks: 4-7-2Īnother favorite we’re going to try to beat. 3 Wicked Halo is a faster, stronger 4-year-old than we saw last year when she had some buzz to her before she finished third behind Goodnight Olive in the aforementioned Breeders’ Cup female sprint. Race 4 (Derby City Distaff) picks: 3-5-2Ĭhampion Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint winner Goodnight Olive has every right to be the favorite here riding a seven-race win streak. 1 Bright Future will get a ground-saving trip from the rail and will just need room behind any fading speed. is just not going to take big money in this field. 14 Petulante, but at 6-to-1 I’ll gamble that he can carry his speed from the outside post and trainer Victor Barboza Jr. There is a lot of early speed in this race, so that definitely compromises the chances of No. Of course, they don’t run these on paper. The biggest concern is pace, as the rail has it in spades and might be tough to catch, but “on paper” the ocho is faster. 1 Cape Trafalgar (2-to-1) - as the morning-line suggests - but I don’t see how Quality Chic is not the favorite. 8 Quality Chic (3-to-1) go off at a longer price than No. View Gallery: Kentucky Derby 2023 scenes: Horses training at Churchill Downs I would be shocked if anyone else won besides one of my top two picks.ĭerby betting strategy: Here are horses you should put money on, according to Ed DeRosa Race 2 picks: 8-3-6 3 Federal Judge was faster when he won his career debut on April 1 at Oaklawn Park. But that’s a long layoff, and the Ragozin Sheets say No. 1 Extra Anejo is sure to take a lot of money on his return following a brilliant career debut.

I expect some opportunity right off the rip, as No. So, let’s make some money! Race 1 picks: 3-1-7 Are you ready for Kentucky Derby day? Whether you’re in it for the horses, the gambling, the fashion, the juleps or some combination of all or some of the above, as someone who gravitates toward the horses and gambling part of it, I can promise you it is the best day of the year to play the races.įrom top to bottom, it is one of the best race cards all year anywhere, and of course the Kentucky Derby (Race 12 of 14) itself is a compelling, challenging puzzle that rewards its solvers like no gambling enterprise in the world.